Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.267216 3.639739 4.043466 4.514493 5.050174 5.641832 6.346712
2025-03-09 2.683518 3.173180 3.741752 4.454405 5.328859 6.373339 7.725046
2025-03-16 2.308257 2.851782 3.516013 4.394847 5.537998 6.989612 8.996490
2025-03-23 2.131660 2.731876 3.497637 4.558653 6.010221 7.955254 10.807736
2025-03-30 1.932328 2.551463 3.369712 4.547675 6.228949 8.587081 12.226012
2025-04-06 1.762093 2.387377 3.239400 4.507766 6.387155 9.133073 13.570478
2025-04-13 1.559653 2.157707 2.993173 4.271587 6.225573 9.179752 14.143805
2025-04-20 1.458467 2.060797 2.923776 4.281984 6.425435 9.783366 15.662398
2025-04-27 1.391505 2.006516 2.909418 4.369884 6.748149 10.607304 17.647130
2025-05-04 1.330920 1.955755 2.894211 4.451763 7.064660 11.449552 19.772342
2025-05-11 1.268436 1.896511 2.859813 4.497181 7.321248 12.212885 21.854662
2025-05-18 1.210279 1.839144 2.822830 4.532952 7.561405 12.968702 24.023788
2025-05-25 1.122288 1.729971 2.697196 4.412708 7.523273 13.231095 25.295032
2025-06-01 1.056013 1.651397 2.615836 4.361542 7.604112 13.723865 27.112604
2025-06-08 0.994921 1.577060 2.535794 4.304957 7.667572 14.187675 28.937556
2025-06-15 0.976954 1.573306 2.574732 4.465224 8.158010 15.553656 32.974654
2025-06-22 0.931910 1.520233 2.523980 4.454578 8.311786 16.247381 35.586328
2025-06-29 0.886093 1.462818 2.461352 4.415628 8.403540 16.818773 38.000042
2025-07-06 0.815170 1.357206 2.305589 4.185004 8.078977 16.448284 38.016429
2025-07-13 0.784457 1.321299 2.274188 4.195158 8.259716 17.221147 41.088963
2025-07-20 0.766237 1.306667 2.280773 4.280996 8.610373 18.423912 45.523860
2025-07-27 0.748207 1.291193 2.284524 4.360949 8.955806 19.658417 50.292287
2025-08-03 0.726691 1.267933 2.271766 4.405296 9.225299 20.743878 54.856518